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- 3-year milestones can be confidently stated, for the next 3 years
- …AND: Funding is available, identified within JUCCCE; no more than $500K is needed
- ..AND: No structural constraints
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- Annual energy savings of more than .01% in China, US (China: 8.1 TBTU, US: 9.9 TBTU)
- …OR: Annual CO2 emissions abatement equivalent to more than .01% of China, US's energy savings (China: 2.0 million tons, US: 2.4 million tons)**
- …OR: Significant spillover effect beyond project scope (e.g., top-runner projects)
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- "Only JUCCCE can do"
- – Lots of potential/actual participants
- ...AND: Participants have lots of interest in new ideas
- ...AND: JUCCCE braintrust is knowledgeable in subject area
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- 3-year milestones can only be stated as probabilities
- …OR: Funding can be identified beyond JUCCCE; i.e., secured externally
- ...AND: No structural constraints
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- Annual energy savings of 0.005-0.01% in China, US (China: 4.0-8.1 TBTU, US: 5.0-9.9 TBTU)
- …OR: Annual CO2 emissions abatement equivalent to .005-.01% of China, US's energy savings (China: 1.0-2.0 million tons, US: 1.2-2.4 million tons)**
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- "JUCCCE can do better"
- – Lots of potential/actual participants but no interest in new ideas
- – ...OR: Few participants, but lots of interest in new ideas
- – ...AND: JUCCE braintrust is knowledgeable in subject area
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- 3-year milestones cannot be stated
- Beyond-JUCCCE funding unidentifiable
- ...OR: structural constraints exist
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- Annual energy savings of less than 0.005% in China, US (China: <4.0 TBTU, US: <5.0 TBTU)
- …AND: Annual CO2 emissions abatement equivalent to .less than 005% of China, US's energy savings (China: <1.0 million tons, US: <1.2 million tons)**
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- "Everyone can do"
- – No potential/actual participants with interest in new ideas
- – ...OR: JUCCCE braintrust is not knowledgeable in subject area
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* Based on projected 2010 annual energy demands
**Assumption: To generate 1 trillion BTUS, a coal-fired thermal plant releases 241Kton CO2.